August 4, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 251 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -55 |
Carlston Harris earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:50, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeremiah Wells was submitted.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 110 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jeremiah Wells controlled the striking through superior volume (41 vs 19 total strikes), significant strike advantage (18 vs 5), superior accuracy (37.5% vs 26.3%). However, since Jeremiah Wells lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Carlston Harris's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 9:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 206 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Carlston Harris edged out Jeremiah Wells on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -25 |
Carlston Harris demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlston Harris capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremiah Wells's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Carlston Harris extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremiah Wells is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jeremiah Wells |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

