May 17, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Khaos Williams's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khaos Williams for the expected result. Had Carlston Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:30 | 1:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 1 436 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
Khaos Williams earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Khaos Williams controlled the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 46.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khaos Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Khaos Williams demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Khaos Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Carlston Harris's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Khaos Williams extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlston Harris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

