Carlston Harris vs Khaos Williams

May 17, 2024

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1099
(-30)
Carlston Harris
Winner: Khaos Williams
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlston Harris-30
Khaos Williams+35
1203
(+35)
Khaos Williams

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -31Khaos Williams: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Total UFC Fights68
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1201 183
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Khaos Williams's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khaos Williams for the expected result. Had Carlston Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -21Khaos Williams: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0431 085
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -28Khaos Williams: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:301:30
Win Type ELO1 2231 436
ELO Change-28+68
💡

What Happened

Khaos Williams earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -29Khaos Williams: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Significant Strikes Landed1412
Significant Strikes Attempted3020
Total Strikes Landed1412
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0811 411
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Khaos Williams controlled the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 46.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khaos Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -64Khaos Williams: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:01
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1421 191
ELO Change-64+64
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -21Khaos Williams: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Days Since Last Fight287378
Activity ELO1 0871 123
ELO Change-21+19
💡

What Happened

Khaos Williams demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Khaos Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Carlston Harris's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -21Khaos Williams: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0561 107
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Khaos Williams extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlston Harris is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlston Harris: -21Khaos Williams: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0431 085
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.