February 4, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 139 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +85 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov controlled the striking exchanges with 46.4% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this activity level, while Carlston Harris's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlston Harris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.