December 18, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Christos Giagos's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christos Giagos for the expected result. Had Carlton Minus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 927 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Christos Giagos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 913 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Christos Giagos controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 29 total strikes, 46.3% vs 35.0% accuracy. Christos Giagos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 859 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Christos Giagos dominated Carlton Minus on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:57 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 491 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +15 |
Christos Giagos demonstrated extended layoff with 491 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Christos Giagos capitalized on this activity level, while Carlton Minus's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Christos Giagos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlton Minus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlton Minus | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.