October 13, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Carmelo Marrero overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cheick Kongo.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 014 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Carmelo Marrero receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Cheick Kongo lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Carmelo Marrero's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:02 | 2:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 117 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Carmelo Marrero dominated Cheick Kongo on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:02 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Carmelo Marrero demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Carmelo Marrero capitalized on this activity level, while Cheick Kongo's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Carmelo Marrero started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cheick Kongo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carmelo Marrero | Cheick Kongo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.