March 5, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dominick Cruz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 193 | 202 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Dominick Cruz controlled the striking exchanges with 115 vs 74 total strikes, 89 vs 74 significant strikes. Dominick Cruz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 2:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 139 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Dominick Cruz edged out Casey Kenney on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:07 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 302 |
| Activity ELO | 1 255 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Dominick Cruz demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Dominick Cruz capitalized on this activity level, while Casey Kenney's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Dominick Cruz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Casey Kenney is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.