August 6, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 201 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Song Yadong receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 116 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 257 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Song Yadong controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 85 total strikes, 116 vs 78 significant strikes. Song Yadong capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 118 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Song Yadong did not secure a significant ground advantage against Casey Kenney on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 227 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +49 |
Song Yadong demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Song Yadong capitalized on this activity level, while Casey Kenney's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 067 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Song Yadong started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Casey Kenney is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Casey Kenney | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

