September 19, 2026
Women's Flyweight Bout
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| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 167 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Casey O'Neill's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Casey O'Neill for the expected result. Had Eduarda Moura pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:22 | 3:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 279 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -28 |
Casey O'Neill earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 218 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Eduarda Moura controlled the striking through superior accuracy (42.9% vs 25.0%). However, since Eduarda Moura lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Casey O'Neill's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Casey O'Neill edged out Eduarda Moura on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Casey O'Neill demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Casey O'Neill capitalized on this activity level, while Eduarda Moura's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 115 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Casey O'Neill extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eduarda Moura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Eduarda Moura |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.