February 19, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Casey O'Neill overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Shana Dobson.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:41 | 3:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 098 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -48 |
Casey O'Neill gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 869 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Casey O'Neill dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 27 total strikes, 49 vs 16 significant strikes, 72.1% vs 57.1% accuracy. Casey O'Neill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:26 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 31 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 072 | 833 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Casey O'Neill dominated Shana Dobson on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:26 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Casey O'Neill demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Casey O'Neill capitalized on this activity level, while Shana Dobson's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Casey O'Neill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shana Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Casey O'Neill | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.