March 2, 2018
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ketlen Vieira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 086 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Cat Zingano controlled the striking through superior volume (77 vs 96 total strikes), significant strike advantage (59 vs 41). However, since Cat Zingano lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ketlen Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 10:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Ketlen Vieira controlled Cat Zingano on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 10:09 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 603 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Ketlen Vieira demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ketlen Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Cat Zingano's 603-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 996 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Ketlen Vieira extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cat Zingano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cat Zingano | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.