January 17, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -31 |
Cathal Pendred overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sean Spencer.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 113 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Cathal Pendred earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 155 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 065 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Sean Spencer controlled the striking through superior accuracy (33.5% vs 43.8%), 1 knockdown. However, since Sean Spencer lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cathal Pendred's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:28 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Cathal Pendred controlled Sean Spencer on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:28 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 128 |
| Activity ELO | 1 139 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Cathal Pendred demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cathal Pendred capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Spencer's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Cathal Pendred extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Spencer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cathal Pendred | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.