Cathal Pendred vs Tom Breese

October 23, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1046
(-39)
Cathal Pendred
Winner: Tom Breese
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cathal Pendred-39
Tom Breese+51
1096
(+51)
Tom Breese

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -33Tom Breese: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 0471 103
ELO Change-33+42
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cathal Pendred.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -23Tom Breese: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0301 043
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -48Tom Breese: +104

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:374:37
Win Type ELO1 0901 190
ELO Change-48+104
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -111Tom Breese: +111

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Significant Strikes Landed523
Significant Strikes Attempted2435
Total Strikes Landed824
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9451 192
ELO Change-111+111
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 5 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 20.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Breese capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -24Tom Breese: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:290:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0681 073
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cathal Pendred on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -28Tom Breese: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Days Since Last Fight105147
Activity ELO1 1111 076
ELO Change-28+56
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Breese capitalized on this activity level, while Cathal Pendred's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -24Tom Breese: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0481 051
ELO Change-24+29
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cathal Pendred is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cathal Pendred: -23Tom Breese: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCathal PendredTom Breese
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0301 043
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.