November 20, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +90 |
Marco Polo Reyes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 916 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Cesar Arzamendia controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (16 vs 10). However, since Cesar Arzamendia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marco Polo Reyes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Marco Polo Reyes landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Marco Polo Reyes demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Marco Polo Reyes capitalized on this activity level, while Cesar Arzamendia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Marco Polo Reyes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cesar Arzamendia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cesar Arzamendia | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

