November 8, 2013
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 130 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Cezar Ferreira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 160 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Cezar Ferreira edged the striking exchanges with 56 vs 31 total strikes, 15 vs 21 significant strikes, 31.9% vs 47.7% accuracy. Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:27 | 1:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Cezar Ferreira controlled Daniel Sarafian on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:27 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -21 |
Cezar Ferreira demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Sarafian's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Cezar Ferreira extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Sarafian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Daniel Sarafian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.