November 16, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -129 | +129 |
Ian Heinisch overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cezar Ferreira.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Ian Heinisch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 962 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Ian Heinisch dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 38 total strikes, 55 vs 26 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 47.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ian Heinisch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:20 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Ian Heinisch landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Ian Heinisch demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ian Heinisch capitalized on this activity level, while Cezar Ferreira's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Ian Heinisch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cezar Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Ian Heinisch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.