July 11, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 014 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:22 | 4:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +60 |
Jorge Masvidal earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 900 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 7 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 38.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:31 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Jorge Masvidal landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +41 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Cezar Ferreira's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jorge Masvidal started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cezar Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.