July 12, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +49 |
Marvin Vettori overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cezar Ferreira.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Marvin Vettori earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 148 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 927 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Marvin Vettori dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 41 total strikes, 78 vs 39 significant strikes, 52.7% vs 44.3% accuracy. Marvin Vettori capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 2:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Marvin Vettori controlled Cezar Ferreira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:34 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 455 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +26 |
Marvin Vettori demonstrated extended layoff with 455 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Marvin Vettori capitalized on this activity level, while Cezar Ferreira's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Marvin Vettori started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cezar Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.