November 10, 2017
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 133 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -29 |
Cezar Ferreira overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Cezar Ferreira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Cezar Ferreira controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 51 total strikes, 47 vs 36 significant strikes. Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:44 | 0:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Cezar Ferreira edged out Nate Marquardt on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:44 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 265 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Cezar Ferreira demonstrated standard activity with 265 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Cezar Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.