April 15, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Cezar Ferreira's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cezar Ferreira for the expected result. Had Oluwale Bamgbose pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Cezar Ferreira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 940 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Oluwale Bamgbose controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (20 vs 26), 1 knockdown. However, since Oluwale Bamgbose lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cezar Ferreira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:51 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 088 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Cezar Ferreira controlled Oluwale Bamgbose on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:51 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 279 | 55 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Cezar Ferreira demonstrated standard activity with 279 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Oluwale Bamgbose's 55-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Cezar Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Oluwale Bamgbose is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cezar Ferreira | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.