Cezar Ferreira vs Thiago Santos

August 2, 2013

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1071
(+35)
Cezar Ferreira
Winner: Cezar Ferreira
Submission
Round 1 • 0:47

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cezar Ferreira+35
Thiago Santos-29
971
(-29)
Thiago Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +30Thiago Santos: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 051970
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +20Thiago Santos: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 041980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +79Thiago Santos: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:470:47
Win Type ELO1 121963
ELO Change+79-37
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What Happened

Cezar Ferreira locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:47 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +53Thiago Santos: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Significant Strikes Landed30
Significant Strikes Attempted51
Total Strikes Landed30
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 141947
ELO Change+53-53
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +36Thiago Santos: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:070:04
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 090964
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +18Thiago Santos: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Days Since Last Fight406N/A
Activity ELO1 039980
ELO Change+18-20
💡

What Happened

Cezar Ferreira demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +24Thiago Santos: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 047980
ELO Change+24-20
💡

What Happened

Cezar Ferreira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Santos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cezar Ferreira: +20Thiago Santos: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 041980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.