November 16, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 955 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Cyrille Diabate's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cyrille Diabate for the expected result. Had Chad Griggs pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:24 | 2:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +55 |
Cyrille Diabate earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 938 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Cyrille Diabate controlled the striking exchanges with 85.7% vs 66.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cyrille Diabate capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 1:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 817 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Cyrille Diabate dominated Chad Griggs on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Cyrille Diabate demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cyrille Diabate capitalized on this activity level, while Chad Griggs's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Cyrille Diabate extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chad Griggs is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chad Griggs | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

