August 30, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 208 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -29 |
Chad Mendes overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 398 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -30 |
Chad Mendes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 404 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Chad Mendes controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 19 total strikes, 32 vs 17 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 17.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chad Mendes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:07 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 332 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Chad Mendes landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -26 |
Chad Mendes demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chad Mendes capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -22 |
Chad Mendes extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.