July 6, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:31 | 0:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -45 |
Chad Mendes secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:31 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 152 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +156 | -156 |
Chad Mendes controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 100.0% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chad Mendes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 53 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Chad Mendes demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chad Mendes capitalized on this activity level, while Cody McKenzie's 53-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Chad Mendes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody McKenzie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Cody McKenzie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.