Chad Mendes vs Conor McGregor

July 10, 2015

UFC Interim Featherweight Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1248
(-38)
Chad Mendes
Winner: Conor McGregor
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chad Mendes-38
Conor McGregor+51
1306
(+51)
Conor McGregor

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -31Conor McGregor: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Total UFC Fights116
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 2161 297
ELO Change-31+41
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chad Mendes.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -23Conor McGregor: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1151 136
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -43Conor McGregor: +89

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:574:57
Win Type ELO1 4091 530
ELO Change-43+89
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -112Conor McGregor: +112

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Significant Strikes Landed3146
Significant Strikes Attempted4892
Total Strikes Landed3674
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 3491 527
ELO Change-112+112
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 36 total strikes, 46 vs 31 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 64.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Conor McGregor capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -29Conor McGregor: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted70
Ground Control Time5:170:04
Ground Strikes Landed167
Ground ELO1 3951 323
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -22Conor McGregor: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Days Since Last Fight98174
Activity ELO1 2391 286
ELO Change-22+38
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor demonstrated solid activity levels with 174 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Conor McGregor capitalized on this activity level, while Chad Mendes's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -22Conor McGregor: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 1541 210
ELO Change-22+53
💡

What Happened

Conor McGregor continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chad Mendes's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: -22Conor McGregor: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesConor McGregor
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1031 135
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.