December 10, 2015
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 194 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Frankie Edgar's 7-fight experience advantage (19 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Edgar for the expected result. Had Chad Mendes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 381 | 1 592 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +63 |
Frankie Edgar earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 287 | 1 573 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Frankie Edgar controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 5 significant strikes, 40.6% vs 29.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Frankie Edgar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 375 | 1 662 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 225 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while Chad Mendes's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 138 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +30 |
Frankie Edgar continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chad Mendes's now at 0.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.