January 13, 2012
UFC Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +44 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jose Aldo captured the UFC Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 041 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +75 |
Jose Aldo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 996 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Jose Aldo controlled the striking exchanges with 47.8% vs 56.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jose Aldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 096 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Jose Aldo landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Chad Mendes's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Jose Aldo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chad Mendes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.