April 3, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 247 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chad Mendes's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chad Mendes for the expected result. Had Ricardo Lamas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 138 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:45 | 2:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 452 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -34 |
Chad Mendes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 461 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +124 | -124 |
Chad Mendes dominated the striking exchanges with 32 vs 8 total strikes, 27 vs 8 significant strikes, 84.4% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Chad Mendes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 424 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Chad Mendes controlled Ricardo Lamas on the ground with 0:41 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Chad Mendes demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chad Mendes capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Lamas's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Chad Mendes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Lamas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chad Mendes | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

