Chad Mendes vs Yaotzin Meza

December 13, 2012

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1126
(+35)
Chad Mendes
Winner: Chad Mendes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:55

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chad Mendes+35
Yaotzin Meza-29
971
(-29)
Yaotzin Meza

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +23Yaotzin Meza: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 120977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Chad Mendes's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chad Mendes for the expected result. Had Yaotzin Meza pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +18Yaotzin Meza: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 063982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +57Yaotzin Meza: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:551:55
Win Type ELO1 217976
ELO Change+57-24
💡

What Happened

Chad Mendes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +76Yaotzin Meza: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Significant Strikes Landed102
Significant Strikes Attempted1315
Total Strikes Landed112
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 228924
ELO Change+76-76
💡

What Happened

Chad Mendes controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 76.9% vs 13.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chad Mendes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +35Yaotzin Meza: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 158965
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +30Yaotzin Meza: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Days Since Last Fight161N/A
Activity ELO1 092983
ELO Change+30-17
💡

What Happened

Chad Mendes demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chad Mendes capitalized on this activity level, while Yaotzin Meza's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +22Yaotzin Meza: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 070982
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Chad Mendes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yaotzin Meza is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chad Mendes: +19Yaotzin Meza: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricChad MendesYaotzin Meza
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 059981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.