May 22, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 048 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Chael Sonnen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 133 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Chael Sonnen dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 32 total strikes, 36 vs 9 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 42.9% accuracy. Chael Sonnen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:52 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 179 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Chael Sonnen dominated Dan Miller on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:52 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -30 |
Chael Sonnen demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chael Sonnen capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Miller's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Chael Sonnen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Dan Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.