Chael Sonnen vs Jeremy Horn

May 26, 2006

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1008
(-24)
Chael Sonnen
Winner: Jeremy Horn
Submission
Round 2 • 1:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chael Sonnen-24
Jeremy Horn+26
1108
(+26)
Jeremy Horn

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -33Jeremy Horn: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Total UFC Fights310
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO9871 031
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Jeremy Horn's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Horn for the expected result. Had Chael Sonnen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -19Jeremy Horn: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9851 059
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -24Jeremy Horn: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:171:17
Win Type ELO9971 215
ELO Change-24+38
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What Happened

Jeremy Horn earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:17, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chael Sonnen was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -15Jeremy Horn: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Significant Strikes Landed63
Significant Strikes Attempted185
Total Strikes Landed345
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0391 166
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Chael Sonnen controlled the striking through superior volume (34 vs 5 total strikes), superior accuracy (33.3% vs 60.0%). However, since Chael Sonnen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jeremy Horn's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -50Jeremy Horn: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time5:470:00
Ground Strikes Landed52
Ground ELO1 0831 116
ELO Change-50+50
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Horn edged out Chael Sonnen on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -14Jeremy Horn: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Days Since Last Fight51189
Activity ELO9971 146
ELO Change-14+18
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Horn demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Horn capitalized on this activity level, while Chael Sonnen's 51-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -18Jeremy Horn: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9891 079
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Jeremy Horn extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chael Sonnen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -19Jeremy Horn: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenJeremy Horn
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9851 054
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.