February 5, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -44 |
Chael Sonnen overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 426 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Chael Sonnen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 214 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 306 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Chael Sonnen dominated the striking exchanges with 214 vs 37 total strikes, 39 vs 11 significant strikes, 69.6% vs 45.8% accuracy. Chael Sonnen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:01 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 29 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 447 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | +132 | -132 |
Chael Sonnen dominated Nate Marquardt on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 13:01 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 191 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -28 |
Chael Sonnen demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chael Sonnen capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -28 |
Chael Sonnen extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chael Sonnen | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.