Chael Sonnen vs Renato Sobral

October 6, 2005

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

975
(-25)
Chael Sonnen
Winner: Renato Sobral
Submission
Round 2 • 1:20

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chael Sonnen-25
Renato Sobral+30
1095
(+30)
Renato Sobral

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -23Renato Sobral: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Total UFC Fights16
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9771 115
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Sobral for the expected result. Had Chael Sonnen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -19Renato Sobral: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 054
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -32Renato Sobral: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:201:20
Win Type ELO9681 132
ELO Change-32+50
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chael Sonnen was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -18Renato Sobral: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Significant Strikes Landed1211
Significant Strikes Attempted2417
Total Strikes Landed5615
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Chael Sonnen controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (56 vs 15 total strikes), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 64.7%). However, since Chael Sonnen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Renato Sobral's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -51Renato Sobral: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted36
Ground Control Time3:022:43
Ground Strikes Landed82
Ground ELO9491 220
ELO Change-51+51
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral dominated Chael Sonnen on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 2:43 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -18Renato Sobral: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Days Since Last FightN/A174
Activity ELO9821 074
ELO Change-18+32
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral demonstrated solid activity levels with 174 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renato Sobral capitalized on this activity level, while Chael Sonnen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -19Renato Sobral: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9811 059
ELO Change-19+23
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chael Sonnen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chael Sonnen: -19Renato Sobral: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricChael SonnenRenato Sobral
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.