August 25, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 28 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 259 | 1 416 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Max Holloway's 16-fight experience advantage (28 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Chan Sung Jung pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:23 | 0:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 436 | 1 669 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Max Holloway gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 309 | 1 656 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Max Holloway dominated the striking exchanges with 75 vs 35 total strikes, 75 vs 34 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 27.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 313 | 1 526 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Max Holloway landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 504 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +14 |
Max Holloway demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Chan Sung Jung's 504-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 140 | 1 513 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +6 |
Max Holloway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chan Sung Jung is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.