November 9, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Yair Rodriguez's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yair Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Chan Sung Jung pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +94 |
Yair Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 126 | 119 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 308 | 271 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 129 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 119 vs 126 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 289 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Yair Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Chan Sung Jung on the ground with 0:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 644 | 547 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +14 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated extended layoff with 547 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Chan Sung Jung's 644-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 078 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Yair Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chan Sung Jung is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.