July 5, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Chance Rencountre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Ismail Naurdiev controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (21 vs 4), superior accuracy (48.8% vs 16.7%). However, since Ismail Naurdiev lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chance Rencountre's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:15 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Chance Rencountre controlled Ismail Naurdiev on the ground with 2 takedowns, 11:15 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Chance Rencountre demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chance Rencountre capitalized on this activity level, while Ismail Naurdiev's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Chance Rencountre extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ismail Naurdiev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chance Rencountre | Ismail Naurdiev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

