Chance Rencountre vs Kyle Stewart

January 18, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1029
(+53)
Chance Rencountre
Winner: Chance Rencountre
Submission
Round 1 • 2:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chance Rencountre+53
Kyle Stewart-49
951
(-49)
Kyle Stewart

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +33Kyle Stewart: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 013967
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +22Kyle Stewart: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 004978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +78Kyle Stewart: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:252:25
Win Type ELO1 055955
ELO Change+78-45
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What Happened

Chance Rencountre earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +70Kyle Stewart: -70

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Significant Strikes Landed62
Significant Strikes Attempted911
Total Strikes Landed132
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 020930
ELO Change+70-70
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What Happened

Chance Rencountre slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 18.2% accuracy. Chance Rencountre capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +154Kyle Stewart: -154

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time1:590:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 115846
ELO Change+154-154
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What Happened

Chance Rencountre dominated Kyle Stewart on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +27Kyle Stewart: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Days Since Last Fight233N/A
Activity ELO1 017978
ELO Change+27-22
💡

What Happened

Chance Rencountre demonstrated standard activity with 233 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chance Rencountre capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Stewart's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +24Kyle Stewart: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 007978
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Chance Rencountre started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Stewart is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chance Rencountre: +22Kyle Stewart: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChance RencountreKyle Stewart
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 004978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.