June 21, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with ChangHo Lee receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 173 | 135 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
ChangHo Lee controlled the striking exchanges with 173 vs 135 total strikes, 84 vs 68 significant strikes. ChangHo Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 6:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
ChangHo Lee edged out Xiao Long on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:48 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
ChangHo Lee demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, ChangHo Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Xiao Long's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
ChangHo Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Xiao Long is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | ChangHo Lee | Xiao Long |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.