September 7, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 946 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Darren Stewart's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Stewart for the expected result. Had Charles Byrd pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +98 |
Darren Stewart gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 009 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Charles Byrd controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (59 vs 28 total strikes), significant strike advantage (38 vs 24), superior accuracy (60.3% vs 36.9%). However, since Charles Byrd lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Darren Stewart's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:41 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 928 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Darren Stewart did not secure a significant ground advantage against Charles Byrd on the ground with 1:02 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 104 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +57 |
Darren Stewart demonstrated solid activity levels with 104 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Darren Stewart capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Byrd's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Darren Stewart extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Byrd is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Byrd | Darren Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

