April 28, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Cody Durden's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Durden for the expected result. Had Charles Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Cody Durden earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Cody Durden edged the striking exchanges with 80 vs 60 total strikes. Cody Durden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 9:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 894 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Cody Durden dominated Charles Johnson on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 9:33 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Cody Durden demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cody Durden capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Johnson's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Cody Durden extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.