May 10, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Charles Johnson's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Johnson for the expected result. Had Jake Hadley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Charles Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Charles Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 50 total strikes, 70 vs 48 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Charles Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 2:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Charles Johnson landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -17 |
Charles Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Hadley's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Charles Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Hadley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.