July 22, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Muhammad Mokaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Charles Johnson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (71 vs 32 total strikes), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 41.4%). However, since Charles Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Muhammad Mokaev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 26 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 11:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Muhammad Mokaev dominated Charles Johnson on the ground with 12 vs 0 takedowns, 11:44 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Muhammad Mokaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Johnson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Muhammad Mokaev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.