October 19, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Charles Johnson's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Johnson for the expected result. Had Sumudaerji pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 206 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Charles Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 144 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 257 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Sumudaerji controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (75 vs 65). However, since Sumudaerji lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charles Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:58 | 0:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 096 | 839 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Charles Johnson landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 316 |
| Activity ELO | 1 239 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -13 |
Charles Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Sumudaerji's 316-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Charles Johnson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sumudaerji is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Sumudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.