November 18, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Charles Johnson overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Zhalgas Zhumagulov.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Charles Johnson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 115 | 119 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 234 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 141 | 141 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 857 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Zhalgas Zhumagulov lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Charles Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 948 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Charles Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zhalgas Zhumagulov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Charles Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Charles Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Johnson | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.