September 3, 2021
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 967 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Julian Erosa's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julian Erosa for the expected result. Had Charles Jourdain pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:56 | 2:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +84 |
Julian Erosa earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:56, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Charles Jourdain was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 103 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 163 | 214 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 911 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Julian Erosa controlled the striking exchanges with 103 vs 85 significant strikes. Julian Erosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 914 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Julian Erosa controlled Charles Jourdain on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +74 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Jourdain's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Julian Erosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Jourdain is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.