March 12, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Charles Jourdain's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Jourdain for the expected result. Had Marcelo Rojo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:31 | 4:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -30 |
Charles Jourdain gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 106 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 220 | 204 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Charles Jourdain dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 80 total strikes, 106 vs 74 significant strikes, 48.2% vs 36.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Charles Jourdain capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:57 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 003 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Charles Jourdain controlled Marcelo Rojo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:57 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Charles Jourdain demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Jourdain capitalized on this activity level, while Marcelo Rojo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 014 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Charles Jourdain started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcelo Rojo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.