July 15, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Shane Burgos's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shane Burgos for the expected result. Had Charles Jourdain pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 189 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Shane Burgos earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 113 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 188 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 161 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Charles Jourdain controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (161 vs 67 total strikes), significant strike advantage (113 vs 42). However, since Charles Jourdain lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Shane Burgos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 6:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Shane Burgos edged out Charles Jourdain on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:25 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Shane Burgos demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Shane Burgos capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Jourdain's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Shane Burgos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Jourdain is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.