June 3, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
David Loiseau's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Loiseau for the expected result. Had Charles McCarthy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +65 |
David Loiseau gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 895 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
David Loiseau controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 8 total strikes, 20 vs 0 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. David Loiseau capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:45 | 2:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
David Loiseau landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +50 |
David Loiseau demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, David Loiseau capitalized on this activity level, while Charles McCarthy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
David Loiseau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles McCarthy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | David Loiseau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.