April 18, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Michael Bisping's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Charles McCarthy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +47 |
Michael Bisping earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 865 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Michael Bisping controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 2 total strikes, 39 vs 1 significant strikes, 43.3% vs 8.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Michael Bisping landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 525 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Charles McCarthy's 525-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Michael Bisping started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles McCarthy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles McCarthy | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.