June 8, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 172 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -31 |
Charles Oliveira overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (20 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 349 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -49 |
Charles Oliveira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 162 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Charles Oliveira slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 9 significant strikes, 48.3% vs 36.0% accuracy. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 259 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 248 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 116 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Charles Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.