February 1, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 254 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Charles Oliveira's 17-fight experience advantage (23 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had David Teymur pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 134 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:55 | 0:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 456 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -24 |
Charles Oliveira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Teymur was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 222 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
David Teymur controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since David Teymur lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charles Oliveira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 347 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Charles Oliveira controlled David Teymur on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 247 |
| Activity ELO | 1 390 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -10 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while David Teymur's 247-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 187 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -20 |
Charles Oliveira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Teymur is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | David Teymur |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 129 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.